Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 8.229057 9.405220 10.701669 12.238650 14.013623 16.002072 18.402745
2025-08-31 6.476605 7.962039 9.730459 11.998024 14.838717 18.293046 22.832321
2025-09-07 5.744552 7.442328 9.579173 12.480428 16.339127 21.325690 28.308097
2025-09-14 5.104658 6.899638 9.263066 12.625390 17.322796 23.706637 33.131875
2025-09-21 4.555739 6.384762 8.887902 12.595257 18.000264 25.675201 37.545786
2025-09-28 4.080153 5.903551 8.485606 12.448934 18.451024 27.315618 41.613060
2025-10-05 3.842143 5.728114 8.485895 12.864345 19.738802 30.279859 47.978608
2025-10-12 3.614026 5.537921 8.435341 13.181085 20.885603 33.119049 54.446506
2025-10-19 3.446923 5.420187 8.475837 13.630776 22.270198 36.453288 62.088912
2025-10-26 3.130099 5.034447 8.056123 13.287788 22.305358 37.552784 66.011608
2025-11-02 2.886105 4.743122 7.759111 13.112514 22.592421 39.084943 70.841141
2025-11-09 2.675615 4.487900 7.497010 12.966283 22.904385 40.672754 75.926153
2025-11-16 2.472241 4.230624 7.214286 12.765401 23.112552 42.119996 80.973378
2025-11-23 2.281292 3.978841 6.919392 12.513607 23.198671 43.344058 85.725067
2025-11-30 2.225405 3.960505 7.032808 13.018208 24.752633 47.502367 96.867892
2025-12-07 2.122227 3.847305 6.963949 13.169852 25.632884 50.426999 105.799251
2025-12-14 2.003108 3.694637 6.808804 13.138330 26.140972 52.647070 113.479848
2025-12-21 1.878869 3.522365 6.602391 12.985264 26.382461 54.333837 120.176626
2025-12-28 1.835759 3.502040 6.684857 13.419834 27.887399 58.838239 133.835894
2026-01-04 1.782839 3.458050 6.716682 13.751211 29.202040 63.063826 147.385839
2026-01-11 1.747706 3.446435 6.811313 14.221725 30.865046 68.236063 163.895660
2026-01-18 1.629660 3.257897 6.531952 13.862851 30.635769 69.067742 169.737345
2026-01-25 1.537867 3.116903 6.340342 13.679469 30.788676 70.802692 178.099193